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The Sift No.1

May 5, 2026

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7 min read

The Sift No.1

Analytical Perspectives on Equity Selection and Market Data.

Paul Cerro
Paul Cerro
NKTR: "Winning By Being Second"

Apr 19, 2026

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12 min read

NKTR: "Winning By Being Second"

Why Nektar Therapeutics atopic dermatitis (AtD) drug could be significantly undervalued despite being a potential second-line drug treatment option

Paul Cerro
Paul Cerro
CGCM Q1'26 Quarterly Letter

Apr 10, 2026

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4 min read

CGCM Q1'26 Quarterly Letter

Paul Cerro
Paul Cerro
Part 2: Q4 Earnings Update On High Conviction Investment - EVLV

Apr 2, 2026

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13 min read

Part 2: Q4 Earnings Update On High Conviction Investment - EVLV

Quick update on EVLV and why we think that FY'26 guide hints at a long-term opportunity for price appreciation above $10/share.

Paul Cerro
Paul Cerro
Part 1: Q4 Earnings Updates and Capturing Cheap Growth? [REAL, KITS, WW]

Mar 23, 2026

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25 min read

Part 1: Q4 Earnings Updates and Capturing Cheap Growth? [REAL, KITS, WW]

Going over Q4'25 earnings for current investors and why they might standout for new investors looking new areas for capital deployment

Paul Cerro
Paul Cerro
LNSR Terminates Deal - Is It Worth More Than the $14/Share?

Mar 17, 2026

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13 min read

LNSR Terminates Deal - Is It Worth More Than the $14/Share?

A quick walkthrough on the math post-deal break, and could LNSR still be compelling as a standalone company?

Paul Cerro
Paul Cerro
Understanding "Risk" From One of the Greats — Howard Marks

Mar 15, 2026

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15 min read

Understanding "Risk" From One of the Greats — Howard Marks

What one of the best investors on Wall Street has to say about "risk" and what we can learn from it

Paul Cerro
Paul Cerro
NVO's Pressure Forces HIMS to Pivot

Mar 10, 2026

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14 min read

NVO's Pressure Forces HIMS to Pivot

What both bulls and bears need to understand is the financial impact of HIMS pivoting hard from the compounded GLP-1 strategy

Paul Cerro
Paul Cerro
IPO Notes: Unprofitable Once Upon A Farm (OFRM) Goes Public

Mar 6, 2026

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27 min read

IPO Notes: Unprofitable Once Upon A Farm (OFRM) Goes Public

Taking a look at the recent OFRM IPO, co-founded by actress Jennifer Garner, and why it could be an interesting setup for the newest CPG brand to hit the market

Paul Cerro
Paul Cerro
Quick Special Situation: Restaurant Take-Private w/ Potential Bidding War

Feb 16, 2026

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8 min read

Quick Special Situation: Restaurant Take-Private w/ Potential Bidding War

Why this prized restaurant asset could strike up a bidding war amongst bidders looking to shore up their position in the quick service restaurant (QSR) space. Potential return could be in excess of 35%.

Paul Cerro
Paul Cerro
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Cedar Grove Capital Management

Multi-strategy equity research focused on L/S, M&A Arb, and other Special Situations.

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