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Shorts

Longs

+1

Fear-Based Investing - Part 1 // +226%

Dec 9, 2025

•

21 min read

Fear-Based Investing - Part 1 // +226%

An update on Owlet (OWLT) after a ~226% run-up

Paul Cerro
Paul Cerro

Shorts

+1

IPO Notes: Gloo Holdings (GLOO) Nosebleed Valuation is Higher Than Heaven

Nov 19, 2025

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27 min read

IPO Notes: Gloo Holdings (GLOO) Nosebleed Valuation is Higher Than Heaven

Why we think this new IPO is doomed to fail

Paul Cerro
Paul Cerro

Opinion

+1

HIMS: Andrew Dudum. The "Teflon Don" of Telehealth

Oct 17, 2025

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30 min read

HIMS: Andrew Dudum. The "Teflon Don" of Telehealth

Why time might be ticking for HIMS to continue exploiting its GLP-1 loophole

Paul Cerro
Paul Cerro

Opinion

+1

HIMS: Another (Misleading) GLP-1 PR Claim

Jun 17, 2025

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18 min read

HIMS: Another (Misleading) GLP-1 PR Claim

Why Andrew's recent Tweet is misleading and also, maybe self-incriminating?

Paul Cerro
Paul Cerro

Longs

+3

A Bunch of Quick Position Updates

Jun 5, 2025

•

21 min read

A Bunch of Quick Position Updates

SHCO, LNSR, LQDA, CPRI, GENK, DKS, and HIMS

Paul Cerro
Paul Cerro

Shorts

HIMS: Napoleon Begins His March Towards Russia?

Mar 3, 2025

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4 min read

HIMS: Napoleon Begins His March Towards Russia?

Post-Q4 Earnings Commentary

Paul Cerro
Paul Cerro

Shorts

Reiterating Short: HIMS CC Data Suggests Growth Massively 'Over-Indexing' Toward GLP-1s

Feb 18, 2025

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29 min read

Reiterating Short: HIMS CC Data Suggests Growth Massively 'Over-Indexing' Toward GLP-1s

Previous estimates for GLP-1 contribution may have been seriously underestimated

Paul Cerro
Paul Cerro

Opinion

+1

🚩Alert on GEN Restaurant Group (GENK)

Feb 7, 2025

•

12 min read

🚩Alert on GEN Restaurant Group (GENK)

Why recent information has made us question the accuracy of unit history in filings

Paul Cerro
Paul Cerro

Shorts

HIMS GLP-1 Shortage: The End is Nigh

Jan 27, 2025

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24 min read

HIMS GLP-1 Shortage: The End is Nigh

An update on the semaglutide shortage + what happens after?

Paul Cerro
Paul Cerro

Shorts

HIMS: "A Bridge Too Far"

Jan 12, 2025

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17 min read

HIMS: "A Bridge Too Far"

Why we've decided to flip short on Hims and Hers Health (HIMS)

Paul Cerro
Paul Cerro

Event-Driven

+1

Performance Update: RCAT +53%; WW +84%

Aug 16, 2024

•

9 min read

Performance Update: RCAT +53%; WW +84%

Updated commentary on Red Cat and Weight Watchers post-earnings

Paul Cerro
Paul Cerro

Shorts

+1

IPO Notes: FLY-E Group Pricing Looking A Little Too Rich

Jun 4, 2024

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8 min read

IPO Notes: FLY-E Group Pricing Looking A Little Too Rich

Why I decided to pass on this micro-cap IPO

Paul Cerro
Paul Cerro

Shorts

DPZ: Domino's Risk Reward Post +42% Rebound Isn't Worth It

Apr 20, 2024

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14 min read

DPZ: Domino's Risk Reward Post +42% Rebound Isn't Worth It

Paul Cerro
Paul Cerro

Shorts

WW Update: Survey Says, More Pain Ahead

Feb 29, 2024

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8 min read

WW Update: Survey Says, More Pain Ahead

Recent ER suggests there's more pain to come in this pivot-play

Paul Cerro
Paul Cerro

Shorts

Weight Watchers International: Dreams & Aspirations

Jan 14, 2024

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17 min read

Weight Watchers International: Dreams & Aspirations

Why Weight Watchers pivot to GLP-1s is anything but realistic

Paul Cerro
Paul Cerro

Shorts

🚀 SPCE Coming Back Down to Earth

Jul 19, 2021

•

15 min read

🚀 SPCE Coming Back Down to Earth

Despite Virgin Galactic's recent string of good news, this over-the-moon valuation cannot be justified

Paul Cerro
Paul Cerro

Shorts

+1

The Honest Co. (HNST), is Honestly Overvalued

May 10, 2021

•

13 min read

The Honest Co. (HNST), is Honestly Overvalued

Why Jessica Alba's eco-friendly consumer brand is not worth its current valuation

Paul Cerro
Paul Cerro

Shorts

My first short idea: Chewy, Inc (CHWY)

Apr 26, 2021

•

12 min read

My first short idea: Chewy, Inc (CHWY)

Why this howling pet company will be losing steam in a post-pandemic world

Paul Cerro
Paul Cerro

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Multi-strategy equity research focused on L/S, M&A Arb, and other Special Situations.

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